Thursday, February 23, 2012

Causes of the massive wave in banking market in VN


The peak in banking market of Vietnam in the middle of 2000s could be considered a result of the development of stock exchange market and the participation of the foreign banks in domestic market. In my view, there were 3 main reasons:

Firstly, shares of banks were always on top of the market, in terms of both price and value, causing a higher demand and consequently a desire to pump more and more into the market. Therefore, investors who had much and much money wanted to open their own banks, while current banks issued new shares to increase capital.

Secondly, many firms started in the market with market value at only dozens of billions VND, suddenly climbed up at thousands (or even dozens of thousands) of billions VND. It created a huge excess capital that allowed firms to open their own banks, although their specialisation are ship-building, oil or textiles.

Thirdly, many domestic bankers predicted that foreign banks would join the market and probably acquire the domestic banks. Thus they built their network as wide as possible, increase their capital as high as possible, hoping for a dream price of the acquisition.

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